Analyse
Published on June 8, 2026 at 4:45 p.m.
Lecture : 3 min
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The steps of the Grande Arche de la Défense, in Puteaux (Hauts-de-Seine), in October 2024.
Vincent Isore / IP3/MaxPPP
If current demographic trends continue, the population could peak at 69.8 million inhabitants in 2037, before falling to 65.9 million in 2070, according to INSEE projections presented Monday June 8, 2026. In this scenario, the fertility rate drops to 1.45 children per woman from 2028.
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How many will there be in France in 2070? To answer this question, INSEE carries out a projection exercise of the population living in France every five years. “These are not forecasts,” warns Loup Wolff, head of the demographic and social studies unit at INSEE. These projections help establish the direction in which we are heading, if all the trends observed today continue. »
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