Will the impact of the war in the Middle East be lasting? Since February 28 and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz after the Israeli-American strikes on Iran, the computers of the world’s major economic and financial institutions have been running at full speed. To estimate the consequences of the crisis on the economy, more or less favorable scenarios are emerging with a barrel of oil at 80, 100, or even 120 dollars over a more or less long time.
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