The European Space Agency (ESA) spread in its official portal, which yesterday Tuesday, February 18the probability that asteroid 2024 YR4 impact the Earth on December 22, 2032, according to the evaluation of the Coordination Center of objects close to Earth Earth, increased to 2.8%.
According to ESA, this means that this asteroid has already exceeded the impact probability of 2.7 % Briefly associated with the much larger asteroid (99942) Apophis in 2004.
On the other hand, NASA has calculated a 3.1% chance of impacting the earth, this is considered the highest level ever registered since this type of measurements are made.
For asteroids of more than 30 meters in size, the asteroid 2024 YR4 now has the record with a greater probability of impact achieved and The longest time elapsed with a probability of impact greater than 1%.
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According to NASA, this body measures between 40 and 90 meters (between 130 and 300 feet) wide.
It is important to note that according to ESA, This increasing impact probability is an expected result as knowledge of the asteroid orbit is still improving.
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NASA ZINIDE with ESA, by pointing out that When more observations from the asteroid orbit are obtained, the probability of its impact will be better known. They even mention that the impact danger of 2024 YR4 is possible to be ruled out, as has happened with many other objects that have previously appeared in the asteroid risk list of the jet propulsion laboratory (JPL) NASA.
*With ESA and NASA information.
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(Tagstotranslate) Asteroid 2024 YR4 (T) Asteroid