The Ukrainian counteroffensive north of Kharkiv is not yet complete, after a month of successful operations it is now advancing towards the western region of Lugansk, says the Institute for the Study of War.
The ongoing counteroffensives in northern and southern Ukraine are likely forcing the Kremlin to prioritize defending one area of operations at the expense of another, which could increase the likelihood of Ukrainian success in both.
According to the UK Ministry of Defence: Russia has committed most of its seriously understaffed air force to the defense of Kherson.
While in the northeast, Ukrainian troops are likely to continue advancing near the Kupyansk area.
They have also made progress in the north-west of the Luhansk region, near Svatove.
Some 20 km southwest of Svatove, Ukrainian forces captured Hrekivka and Makiivka.
The head of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic said: “the situation around Kreminna is stabilizing.”
In the south, the Institute for the Study of War says: Ukrainian troops have probably consolidated their positions and regrouped in the northern Kherson region after making significant gains in the last 48 hours.
The UK Ministry of Defense says: The damaged passage over the Dnipro River in this area remains one of the few routes available for them to resupply the forces.
Russia faces a dilemma: the withdrawal of combat forces across the Dnipro would help defend the rest of the Kherson territory; but the political imperative compels them to stay and defend.
Russia has few additional forces to stabilize the front: it probably intends to deploy mobilized reservists.