The members of the Liaison Table: from left to right, Achetoni (Agrarian Federation), Pino (Rural Society), Chemes (CRA) and Lauricica (Coninagro)
A day in Argentine politics can be equivalent to a year in other countries of the world. The vertigo with which the events and their derivations sometimes occur make Argentina live in a state of constant instability, which prevents it from enjoying periods of stability and being able to establish long-term plans and achieve the development that political speeches suggest.
So weak is the situation in the country that the results of a primary election caused an internal fracture of dimensions that are still difficult to measure, jeopardizing the institutionality and health of the Executive Power, at times emptied of power and cornered by its powers. own members.
The truth is that President Alberto Fernández yielded to pressure from the sector headed by Cristina Fernández de Kirchner and reordered priorities so that he could at least lessen the coup in the November legislative elections and make changes to the Cabinet. Even positions that did not seem to be in the pillory were subject to change, as happened in Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries, where Luis Basterra was replaced by Julián Domínguez, who between 2009 and 2011 had already been minister of the area.
This earthquake, whose aftershocks will continue to resound, since the crisis has not ended yet, changed the scenario of confrontation between the countryside and the Government due to the limitation of exports of beef. No agricultural leader or producer imagined such a resounding defeat in the STEP of the ruling party, but much less did he foresee the political earthquake that occurred a few days after the electoral debacle.
This situation is a challenge for the agricultural leadership, centered on the Mesa de Enlace, which adopted a waiting attitude: let the events pass and make a diagnosis that allows designing the way forward in troubled times. Adding more discord in this context would even be counterproductive, because the leaders do not know what position the Government will adopt with respect to the sector, although radicalization and deepening of policies is not ruled out.
Consulted by Infobae, the analyst of the granary market, Carlos Etchepare, believes that the situation in the field is not “neither better nor worse”, but rather that time must pass to be able to elucidate the new scenario for the sector. “The sector continues with the same problems as always. What will have to be seen is how the government reacts: if it radicalizes its actions or is it really willing to change. There we will really see how the sector is stopped. In this sense, the decision taken by the agricultural leadership is the most correct, especially considering what is happening these days ”.
Alberto and Cristina- 18 / 8- La Plata
“This is not the time to generate discord in Argentina, but on the contrary, it is necessary to show signs that one wants to be on the side of those who solve the problems and in this sense the Liaison Table has made an excellent decision and tries to advance in communicate to the population what their problems are and, from there, see what decision they make ”, Etchepare considered and argued“ not to be so sure that in the whole chain, not only meat, but others items, there is consensus to support a protest measure such as a marketing stoppage. That is why it is an intelligent measure on the part of the entities, especially taking into account what is in sight, which is an institutional crisis caused by a political party that took its internship at the national level ”.
In his opinion, he considered that there is “a president who is weakened, but this does not mean that by pressing the field he achieves better results than he has achieved so far, but rather that he may risk intensifying the anti-field action of some very strong sectors. within the Government, which even today are putting the country’s institutional system to the test. Wait, raise awareness and see how the story is resolved and, finally, when things are clearer, you will see what measures to take if there is no reflection on your problems ”.
Strengthening and political strategy
For his part, the director of the consulting firm Synopsis, Lucas Romero, pointed out that the electoral defeat of the Frente de Todos made the agricultural sector come out strengthened by decantation in front of the ruling coalition, since he considered that the fall in the polls “was something deeply adverse for a government that continues to have a harmful policy for the sector and a conflictive relationship with it, so there is no better political resource to try to modify something in the relationship or the government’s policy towards the sector than an electoral result ” .
However, he assured that “the sector now has to wait for the government’s attitude, if as a consequence of this result it modifies something not only the relationship but also the policies and, eventually, evaluate whether these changes are satisfactory. I don’t think this is the time to produce or provoke measures of force or protest because the time has come to wait, especially after the Government decided to restructure its Cabinet, including the Minister of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries ”, since he will occupy the former head of the agricultural portfolio, Julián Domínguez.
Julián Domínguez, new Minister of Agriculture. (Adrián Escandar)
In this sense, the appointment of Domínguez needs to be evaluated, according to Romero, who mentioned the passing of the new national official through the Ministry during the mandate of Cristina Fernández de Kirchner after the conflict of the 125, whose main mission was to try to rebuild the relationship with the sector. Now is the time to wait for the consequences of this appointment after a reasonable period of time, as if to see if its management represents a change.
For the director of the consulting firm that frequently measures the image of the countryside, Fuente Primaria, Tomás Lanusse, it is crucial for agriculture, beyond the electoral result, that he build a strategy that allows him to influence the design of policies for the sector and assert its weight and participation in the national economy. “The countryside provides the dollars that the government needs to finance its spending, but its political representation is fragmented. Regardless of the political crisis that the government has as a result of the PASO, the field should design its political strategy that is related to its impact on the economy ”.
“All that work requires an organized ruling class. That Kirchnerism has lost support at the polls does not mean that it will seek an agreement with the agricultural sector. On the contrary, the radicalization of Kirchnerism is on the rise because domestic consumption is on the ground. Even so, this is a new opportunity for the food export sector to sit at the decision-making table at the national level ”, remarked Lanusse.
In this sense, he remarked that “after the conflict over the 125th in 2008, Congress was renewed 6 times (between presidential and legislative elections) and the participation of the agricultural sector in the seats is not significant. Losing positions in the National Congress also has the consequence of losing positions at the international level compared to other competitors in the food sector ”.
The day that Julián Domínguez, the new Minister of Agriculture, said that “the political leadership does not understand the countryside”Dollar: the hidden indicator that shows how the political crisis increases devaluation expectationsThe soybean crisis: the reasons why Argentina’s star crop will have the worst planting in 15 years