From victory in 2019 to defeat in PASO 2021. How the political map of Argentina changed
A yellow wave dyed Argentina again. Together he prevailed with authority in almost the entire country: his lists of national deputies won in 15 provinces. The opposition prevailed from north to south, from Jujuy to Tierra del Fuego. An electoral victory that includes the five most populated districts of the country: Buenos Aires, the Autonomous City of Buenos Aires, Córdoba, Santa Fe and Mendoza.
The defeat of the Frente de Todos is even more painful if you look in the mirror of the PASO 2019, that election that saw the birth of the alliance that displaced Mauricio Macri from the Casa Rosada. Kirchnerism and its allies lost at the polls 13 provinces that they had won two years earlier. Buenos Aires, Cristina Kirchner’s electoral stronghold, is the district where the ruling party left the largest number of votes. Santa Fe, which had an intern with a bitter taste, was another of the provinces where it was relegated.
Together and their allies prevailed in Buenos Aires and the City of Buenos Aires, the most densely populated area of the country, which was renamed the Buenos Aires Metropolitan Area (AMBA) during the pandemic. It is precisely in those urban areas where the economic crisis hits the hardest. In the province of Buenos Aires, district governor by the purest Kirchnerism, the opposition exceeded 38.1% of the votes and had almost 5% advantage over Kirchnerism at the close of this edition.
The list headed by Diego Santilli, who had the endorsement of Horacio Rodríguez Larreta, prevailed in the internal with a difference of 20 points over radicalism. On the other hand, the debutant Facundo Manes was second, although with a good choice that contributed more than 15% of the opposition votes in the province.
In the City, a territory historically dominated by the PRO, the advantage was more comfortable: the three Juntos candidates won over 48% of the votes. As planned, the ballot headed by María Eugenia Vidal, another candidate who had the blessing of the Buenos Aires head of government, was the one that obtained the most support. Kirchnerism once again lost votes in a district that suffered – in addition to the pandemic – the withdrawal of funds from the co-participation by Alberto Fernández.
Opposition victory in the center
The opposition also prevailed with ease in the center of the country. Together they won in Córdoba with an even greater advantage than that obtained in the previous elections: they gathered 47.5% of the votes, six points more than in the PASO of 2019. The list of deputies headed by Rodrigo de Loredo, who received the endorsement of Mauricio Macri, was imposed in the internal opposition. Second place went to We do for Córdoba, the force promoted by Governor Juan Schiaretti. Kirchnerism was in third place, with just 10.9% of the votes, 12 points less than in the PASO of 2019.
Together they won in the province of Santa Fe, one of the least expected triumphs of these elections. The opposition won 41.4% of the votes, 10 points above Peronism, which two years ago recovered that province after a long period in the hands of Santa Fe socialism. The lists headed by the radical Mario Barletta and the journalist Carolina Losada were imposed on the internal opposition.
The defeat in Santa Fe is especially painful for Cristina Kirchner, who faced former minister Agustín Rossi for maintaining his candidacy, a confrontation that cost the historic Kirchner leader his job. The vice president, on the other hand, supported the list promoted by Governor Omar Perotti, which finally prevailed in the Peronist internal, but did not manage to get the Frente de Todos to add the largest number of votes in the entire province.
Entre Ríos was another province in the center of the country that Juntos “recovered” in these STEP. He got 51.8% of the votes, a difference of more than 20 points with the ruling party. Not even the numbers obtained by the Frente de Todos in 2019 had been so beneficial for the victor at that time.
Cuyo and Santa Cruz, also from Together
The opposition prevailed in Cuyo. The list headed by Julio Cobos won in Mendoza with 43.7% of the votes, a difference of almost 20% points with respect to Kirchnerism. Together they also stayed with San Luis, where the ballot promoted by Governor Claudio Poggi reached 47.2% of the votes. The opposition thus displaced the list supported by Alberto Rodríguez Saa, which added 37%. San Juan was an exception in Cuyo: the list of the Frente de Todos supported by Governor Sergio Uñac managed to prevail with 42.8% of the votes.
In Patagonia, Juntos was also encouraged to take Santa Cruz from Kirchnerism. The six internal lists accumulated by the opposition added up to 38.6% of the votes, a difference of more than 10 points with the ruling party. Cristina Kirchner, who yesterday voted in Río Gallegos, still resides in the province that was the cradle of Kirchnerism. The opposition also prevailed in Tierra del Fuego, another of the provinces where it had lost in the PASO of 2019.
Kirchnerism won in just six provinces; it lost 13 districts compared to the PASO of 2019. The victories of the Frente de Todo were mainly condensed in districts located in the north of the country. They were triumphs in provinces where Peronism has historically prevailed: Formosa, La Rioja, Tucumán, Catamarca, Santiago del Estero and San Juan.
The Frente de Todos had already won these provinces in the PASO of 2019. The victory is especially important, due to its electoral flow, in Tucumán. The most voted candidate was Deputy Pablo Yeldin, a man close to Governor Juan Manzur and a sword of Kirchnerism in the Health Commission of the Chamber of Deputies. Despite the triumph of the ruling party, the opposition grew 12 points in the province compared to two years ago.
I kept reading
The overwhelming defeat of Alberto Fernández and Cristina Kirchner in almost the entire country The 18 provinces where Peronism lost the STEP 2021: the surprises Analysts expect strong increases in Argentine assets